Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.927046 7.661589 8.479722 9.466206 10.633887 11.985405 13.688099
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.701477 6.641680 7.776783 9.276532 11.251533 13.834235 17.597326
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.059010 6.090995 7.404102 9.251081 11.878469 15.654265 21.870619
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.539621 5.592843 6.983787 9.032084 12.122694 16.914031 25.677688
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.198412 5.275026 6.743359 8.995517 12.582685 18.563654 30.747352
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.916393 5.001340 6.521447 8.935857 12.969733 20.161512 36.444867
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.764288 4.889556 6.511708 9.187297 13.901941 22.987845 46.457638
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.499085 4.590683 6.191067 8.891540 13.809357 23.772680 51.944431
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.259817 4.311430 5.874484 8.561884 13.592879 24.233967 56.891699
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.076246 4.101900 5.647726 8.357121 13.577456 25.139825 64.058097
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.950674 3.970793 5.532754 8.331655 13.909371 26.969468 76.460570
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.959660 4.044370 5.749913 8.923989 15.635680 33.043826 117.113251
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.873548 3.974519 5.742679 9.136300 16.678901 38.105083 170.856350
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.723052 3.794884 5.539278 8.953690 16.793372 40.489206 218.679164
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.613268 3.673028 5.423985 8.929493 17.291393 44.554999 313.348157
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.485771 3.514114 5.230771 8.721674 17.275645 46.755752 412.361172
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.395051 3.410252 5.126873 8.686961 17.716186 51.216115 647.768404
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.308838 3.308717 5.019100 8.630319 18.086994 55.771545 1098.427032
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.268689 3.282009 5.045226 8.868977 19.384806 66.418381 3877.435156
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.165215 3.141797 4.850444 8.588237 19.035820 67.672236 7193.552438
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.064652 3.002343 4.649400 8.275043 18.528899 67.695863 13195.418965
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.985129 2.895922 4.505066 8.080356 18.371718 70.008717 67089.012571
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.931049 2.831250 4.436399 8.056135 18.776820 76.813973 NaN